Evaluating Line Chart Strategies for Mitigating Density of Temporal Data: The Impact on Trend, Prediction and Decision-Making

Abstract
Overplotted line charts can obscure trends in temporal data and hinder prediction. We conduct a user study comparing three al- ternatives—aggregated, trellis, and spiral line charts against standard line charts on tasks involving trend identification, making predictions, and decision-making. We found aggregated charts performed similarly to standard charts and support more accurate trend recognition and predic- tion; trellis and spiral charts generally lag. We also examined the impact on decision-making via a trust game. The results showed similar trust in standard and aggregated charts, varied trust in spiral charts, and a lean toward distrust in trellis charts. These findings provide guidance for practitioners choosing visualization strategies for dense temporal data.
Citation
@misc{proma2025evaluatinglinechartstrategies,
title={Evaluating Line Chart Strategies for Mitigating Density of Temporal Data: The Impact on Trend, Prediction, and Decision-Making},
author={Rifat Ara Proma and Ghulam Jilani Quadri and Paul Rosen},
year={2025},
eprint={2510.11912},
archivePrefix={arXiv},
primaryClass={cs.HC},
url={https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.11912},
}